Metabolites, Vol. 12, Pages 13: Prediction of Healthy Pregnancy Outcomes in Women with Overweight and Obesity: The Role of Maternal Early-Pregnancy Metabolites
Metabolites doi: 10.3390/metabo12010013
Rama J. Wahab
Vincent W. V. Jaddoe
Women with obesity receive intensified antenatal care due to their increased risk of pregnancy complications, even though not all of these women develop complications. We developed a model based on maternal characteristics for prediction of healthy pregnancy outcomes in women with obesity or who are overweight. We assessed whether early-pregnancy metabolites improved prediction. In a population-based cohort study among a subsample of 1180 Dutch pregnant women with obesity or who are overweight, we developed a prediction model using 32 maternal socio-demographic, lifestyle, physical and pregnancy-related characteristics. We determined early-pregnancy amino acids, nonesterifed fatty acids, phospholipids and carnitines in blood serum using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. A healthy pregnancy outcome was the absence of fetal death, gestational hypertension, preeclampsia, gestational diabetes, caesarian section, preterm birth, large-for-gestational-age at birth, macrosomia, postpartum weight retention and offspring overweight/obesity at 5 years. Maternal age, relationship status, parity, early-pregnancy body mass index, mid-pregnancy gestational weight gain, systolic blood pressure and estimated fetal weight were selected into the model using backward selection (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.65 (95% confidence interval 0.61 to 0.68)). Early-pregnancy metabolites did not improve model performance. Thus, in women with obesity or who are overweight, maternal characteristics can moderately predict a healthy pregnancy outcome. Maternal early-pregnancy metabolites have no incremental value in the prediction of a healthy pregnancy outcome.
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